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Lincoln, California eviction risk overview
Ranked #687 of 1,861 nationally

Lincoln, CA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Placer County · Population 52,956

In 2026
Risk score
5.8
ELEVATED

67th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.4 Now5.8
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 2.0 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.5 1993 · score 2.5 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.5 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.7 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 2.9 2001 · score 3.0 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.1 2005 · score 3.2 2006 · score 3.2 2007 · score 3.3 2008 · score 4.1 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.4 2013 · score 4.5 2014 · score 4.6 2015 · score 4.7 2016 · score 4.9 2017 · score 5.1 2018 · score 5.4 2019 · score 5.7 2020 · score 6.7 2021 · score 6.7 2022 · score 6.6 2023 · score 6.7 2024 · score 6.5 2025 · score 5.8 2026 · score 5.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.5 Regional 4.5 State 6.8 Economic 5.2 Supply 6.7 Rent Control 8.2 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 4.0 Housing 6.3 5.8 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +8.5% (2024)
    4.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.5
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    7.7% poverty · 4.3% unemp.
    5.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,090 average · 16.1% renters
    6.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    34.7% of income on rent
    8.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    275 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    16.1% renters
    4.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.3
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Lincoln compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Placer County
High
#6 of 21 cities
Rank in county — 75th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 21 cities in Placer County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Elevated
#564 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state — 65th percentileBottomTop
#564 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Lincoln risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Lincoln: 5.85.8LincolnThis cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg in countyState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.8
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 275d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,090/mo. A contested eviction takes 275 days and costs $16,124–$39,337 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 16.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 52,956 residents, 16.1% rent. 35% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.5 and 4.5 (GOP margin +8.5% (2024)). State climate at 6.8 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 6.3, rent-control risk 8.2. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.2. Supply constraint: 6.7. The numbers behind those: 7.7% poverty, 4.3% unemployment, 35% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Lincoln sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.0 Sacramento Elk Grove, CA · 245d · ~$24.4k all-in ($100/day) · score 6.1 Elk Grove Roseville, CA · 266d · ~$28.2k all-in ($106/day) · score 6.1 Roseville Arden-Arcade, CA · 279d · ~$26.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 6.8 Arden-Arcade Citrus Heights, CA · 276d · ~$25.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 6.4 Citrus Heights Folsom, CA · 257d · ~$25.6k all-in ($100/day) · score 5.8 Folsom Rancho Cordova, CA · 271d · ~$25.7k all-in ($95/day) · score 6.2 Rancho Cordova Carmichael, CA · 263d · ~$27.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 6.5 Carmichael Rocklin, CA · 272d · ~$24.8k all-in ($91/day) · score 6.0 Rocklin Yuba City, CA · 255d · ~$26.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 5.0 Yuba City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Lincoln
Lincoln · 275d · ~$27.7k all-in ($101/day) · score 5.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Lincoln, CA

Landlording in Lincoln, California, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Lincoln is a city of 52,956 residents where 16.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 34.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,090/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Lincoln eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Lincoln closes 275 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Lincoln's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Lincoln runs $16,124 to $39,337 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 275 days of typical timeline and $2,090/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.0/10 in Lincoln, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Lincoln: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $39,337 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Lincoln

Trap · 16.1%
16.1% renter share against 52,956 residents produces roughly 8,510 rental occupants in Lincoln. Yuba County voted R 21.6% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Lincoln for no reason?

No. California has statewide just-cause eviction requirements. You must have a legally recognized reason, such as non-payment of rent, a lease violation, or an owner move-in with proper notice and potentially relocation assistance.
Q2

How long does an eviction typically take in Lincoln?

On average, an eviction in Lincoln, CA, takes around 275 days from the initial notice to regaining possession of the property. This timeline can vary depending on court backlog and tenant actions.
Q3

What's the maximum security deposit I can charge in Lincoln?

You can charge a maximum of 1.00 month's rent for a security deposit. This applies across California.
Q4

Do I have to accept Section 8 tenants in Lincoln?

Yes. California has statewide source-of-income protection. You cannot discriminate against tenants solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other lawful forms of income to pay rent. You must apply the same screening criteria to all applicants.
Q5

When should I get an attorney for an eviction in Lincoln?

You should consult an attorney as soon as a tenant fails to cure a lease violation or pay rent after a proper notice (e.g., after the 3-day pay-or-quit expires). Given the complexity and cost, legal guidance from the outset is crucial.
Q6

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the eviction is granted?

If you receive a judgment for possession, the court will issue a Writ of Possession. You then deliver this writ to the Yuba County Sheriff, who will schedule and execute the physical lockout. You cannot remove the tenant or their belongings yourself.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.8/10 places Lincoln in the 67th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.