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Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Big Bear Lake Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06071011205 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 1,263

06071011205 is a census tract in Big Bear Lake, CA. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,263 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units544
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$41,570

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Big Bear Lake
Very High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#174 of 466 tracts In San Bernardino
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4,555 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,727 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Big Bear Lake and the region

Centroid at 34.2412, -116.9082 · click any tract to drill in

Why Big Bear Lake scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Big Bear Lake
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Big Bear Lake
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Big Bear Lake
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Big Bear Lake
6.8

How Big Bear Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Big Bear Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 0112056.6Big Bear Lakeparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Big Bear Lake

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $41,570, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 27.2% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,164 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Big Bear Lake commands.

Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.

Against the San Bernardino County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06071011205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071011205?

Census tract 06071011205 in Big Bear Lake scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06071011205?

Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06071011205?

12.0% of residents in tract 06071011205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,263.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06071011205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 82th, minority 66th, housing 86th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06071011205 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06071011205 compare to Big Bear Lake overall?

Tract 06071011205 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Big Bear Lake at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Big Bear Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Big Bear Lake

Top eight tracts in Big Bear Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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