San Bernardino Eviction Risk: High

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $42,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.1% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

It sits 1.8 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Cost burden runs 60% here against 53.3% across San Bernardino County. At $1,346 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of San Bernardino commands. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.