San Bernardino Eviction Risk: High

At $414 a month, rents run 73% under what the rest of San Bernardino commands. SNAP participation runs 42.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 41.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 1.8 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.