Twentynine Palms Eviction Risk: High

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $42,165 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.9 points above the San Bernardino County average of 6.8. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation runs 29.4% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,203, 11% below the Twentynine Palms average.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.