Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #2,005 of 84,120 nationally
Twentynine Palms Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06071010433 · San Bernardino, CA · pop 4,680
Census tract 06071010433 runs through Twentynine Palms. With 4,680 residents, it scores 6.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,203 a month while the average household earns $42,165 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units2,323
Renter share80.1%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$42,165
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Twentynine Palms and the region
Centroid at 34.1429, -116.0542 · click any tract to drill in
Why Twentynine Palms scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Twentynine Palms
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,203 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Twentynine Palms
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Twentynine Palms
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Twentynine Palms
6.7
How Twentynine Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 29.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.5%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Twentynine Palms
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Twentynine Palms, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Bernardino County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06071010433
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06071010433?
Census tract 06071010433 in Twentynine Palms scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06071010433?
Median gross rent is $1,203/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06071010433?
26.7% of residents in tract 06071010433 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06071010433?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 22th, minority 73th, housing 47th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06071010433 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06071010433 compare to Twentynine Palms overall?
Tract 06071010433 scores 8/10, right in line with the parent city of Twentynine Palms at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Twentynine Palms; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Twentynine Palms
Top eight tracts in Twentynine Palms ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06071010426
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010415
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010422
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010431
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010434
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010402
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06071010432
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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