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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

National City Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06073021900 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,224 · 98% of tract blocks fall in National City

Tract 06073021900 sits in National City, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.4/10. It is home to 3,224 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 27% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units756
Renter share75.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$42,976

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 14 tracts In National City
Moderate
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#256 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,744 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across National City and the region

Centroid at 32.6650, -117.1160 · click any tract to drill in

Why National City scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from National City
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,191 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from National City
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from National City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from National City
5.7

How National City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
National City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.48.4This tracttract 021900National City: 7.07.0National Cityparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in National City

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. SNAP participation runs 33.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $42,976, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $1,191 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of National City commands. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073021900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073021900?

Census tract 06073021900 in National City scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073021900?

Median gross rent is $1,191/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073021900?

23.9% of residents in tract 06073021900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,224.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073021900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 28th, minority 90th, housing 93th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06073021900 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06073021900 compare to National City overall?

Tract 06073021900 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of National City at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from National City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in National City

Top eight tracts in National City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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