Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Johnstown Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06073016809 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,629 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 06073016809 covers part of the Johnstown area of San Diego County, CA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,629. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,798
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$82,206
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Diego and the region
Centroid at 32.8294, -116.8943 · click any tract to drill in
Why Johnstown scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$2,254 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Johnstown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Johnstown
Set annual rent against average income of $82,206 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 2.7/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.
57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely.
Average gross rent runs $2,254 a month.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073016809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016809?
Census tract 06073016809 in the Johnstown neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073016809?
Median gross rent is $2,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016809?
15.5% of residents in tract 06073016809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 93th, minority 58th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 06073016809 considered part of Johnstown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016809 fall within Johnstown (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073016809 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Related