Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Paradise Hills Eviction Risk: High , National City

Tract 06073012102 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,890 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

06073012102 is a census tract in the Paradise Hills area of National City, CA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,890. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

8.4

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 18% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units944

Renter share37.3%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate16.8%

Median income$70,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across National City and the region

Centroid at 32.6704, -117.0786 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paradise Hills scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from National City

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.8% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,700 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from National City

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from National City

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from National City

5.7

How Paradise Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
95%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Paradise Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.4%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
25.4%Food insecurity
22.3%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paradise Hills

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. It sits 0.8 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Food insecurity runs 25.4% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012102?

Census tract 06073012102 in the Paradise Hills neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073012102?

Median gross rent is $1,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012102?

16.8% of residents in tract 06073012102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,890.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 95th, minority 89th, housing 48th.

Is tract 06073012102 considered part of Paradise Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012102 fall within Paradise Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073012102 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073012102 compare to National City overall?

Tract 06073012102 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of National City at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from National City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073012102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in National City

Top eight tracts in National City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.