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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,210 of 84,120 nationally

Duboce Triangle Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075020202 · San Francisco, CA · pop 4,113 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06075020202 sits in the Duboce Triangle area of San Francisco eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.8/10. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.8
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 52% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,173
Renter share77.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$166,932

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 14 tracts In Duboce Triangle
Elevated
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 242 tracts In San Francisco
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#1,063 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7688, -122.4242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duboce Triangle scores 9.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Francisco
9.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,372 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Francisco
10.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Francisco
9.5

How Duboce Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Duboce Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.8This tracttract 0202029.9San Franciscoparent city9.5Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Duboce Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duboce Triangle

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against San Francisco County at 37.3%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $166,932, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075020202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075020202?

Census tract 06075020202 in the Duboce Triangle neighborhood scores 9.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06075020202?

Median gross rent is $2,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075020202?

13.5% of residents in tract 06075020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,113.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075020202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 12th, minority 66th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06075020202 considered part of Duboce Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075020202 fall within Duboce Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06075020202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06075020202 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075020202 scores 9.8/10, right in line with the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06075020202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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