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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Duboce Triangle Eviction Risk: High

14 census tracts · pop 44,330 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.4/10 · range 8.7–9.9

Duboce Triangle takes in 14 census tracts of San Francisco, CA and houses 44,330 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.4/10, in the High tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 14 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 8.7 to 9.9, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Cost burden runs 30% against 25.1% citywide, putting Duboce Triangle 4.8% over its own city. Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of San Francisco, it ranks #28 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Telegraph Hill and Polk Gulch score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $174,024, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $2,421, close to the San Francisco average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 9.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.4
High
14 tracts · population-weighted
Duboce Triangle vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.9% +19%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,421 -2%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$174,024 +23%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
10.0% -5%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
67.4% +9%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duboce Triangle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 14 tracts span score 8.7–9.9

Why Duboce Triangle scores 9.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.1 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Duboce Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Duboce Triangle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.4Duboce TriangleNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Duboce Triangle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8.7 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

14 tracts in Duboce Triangle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075020801 9.9 3,743 25% $1,454
06075020102 9.9 3,310 29% $1,405
06075020802 9.9 2,523 38% $1,913
06075020702 9.9 2,248 31% $2,566
06075020201 9.9 1,920 25% $1,493
06075020202 9.8 4,113 33% $2,372
06075016900 9.5 3,061 51% $2,623
06075017000 9.2 4,262 25% $2,418
06075020701 9.2 3,139 23% $3,336
06075020300 9.1 3,474 26% $2,733
06075020601 9.1 3,044 33% $1,926
06075020602 9.1 2,564 27% $3,149
06075020500 8.9 2,970 30% $2,659
06075021100 8.7 3,959 24% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 14 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Duboce Triangle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Duboce Triangle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Duboce Triangle?

Duboce Triangle scores 9.4/10 (High tier) across 14 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Duboce Triangle compare to San Francisco overall?

Duboce Triangle scores 0.5 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,421 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Duboce Triangle?

Average gross rent in Duboce Triangle is $2,421/month (pop-weighted across 14 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Duboce Triangle residents are renters?

67% of Duboce Triangle households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 44,330 residents.
Q5

Is Duboce Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?

Duboce Triangle sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Duboce Triangle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Duboce Triangle is census tract 06075020801 (score 9.9/10). Across the 14 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Duboce Triangle for landlords?

Duboce Triangle carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.4/10). Pop-weighted across 14 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Duboce Triangle?

Duboce Triangle has 43,156 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.5%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Duboce Triangle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Duboce Triangle.

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