Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06077003109 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 5,210 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln Village
Lincoln Village in San Joaquin County anchors census tract 06077003109, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,580 a month while the average household earns $81,318 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,992
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$81,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln Village and the region
Centroid at 38.0093, -121.3448 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Village scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln Village
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln Village
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln Village
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln Village
4.7
How Lincoln Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Village
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln Village, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06077003109
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003109?
Census tract 06077003109 in Lincoln Village scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06077003109?
Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003109?
21.2% of residents in tract 06077003109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,210.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003109?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 98th, minority 82th, housing 32th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06077003109 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06077003109 compare to Lincoln Village overall?
Tract 06077003109 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln Village at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln Village
Top eight tracts in Lincoln Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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