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Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06077003110 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,988 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln Village

For landlords sizing up Lincoln Village, census tract 06077003110 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #22,942 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,408 a month against an average household income of $68,005 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 31% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,543
Renter share63.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$68,005

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lincoln Village
Very Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#3,936 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13,119 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Village and the region

Centroid at 38.0064, -121.3237 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Village scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln Village
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln Village
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln Village
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln Village
4.7

How Lincoln Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 003110Lincoln Village: 8.18.1Lincoln Villageparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Village

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln Village, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077003110

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077003110?

Census tract 06077003110 in Lincoln Village scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077003110?

Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077003110?

18.0% of residents in tract 06077003110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077003110?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 92th, minority 80th, housing 77th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077003110 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077003110 compare to Lincoln Village overall?

Tract 06077003110 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lincoln Village at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln Village

Top eight tracts in Lincoln Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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