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Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06077005137 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 7,752 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Manteca

In Manteca in San Joaquin County, census tract 06077005137 scores 6.2/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #15,875 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,328 monthly, set against $132,634 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 18% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,573
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$132,634

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 18 tracts In Manteca
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Very Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,640 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7809, -121.2190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,328 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manteca risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 005137Manteca: 8.18.1Mantecaparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manteca, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005137

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005137?

Census tract 06077005137 in Manteca scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005137?

Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005137?

5.7% of residents in tract 06077005137 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,752.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005137?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 64th, minority 80th, housing 9th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077005137 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077005137 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005137 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Manteca at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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