Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077005133 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,447

Census tract 06077005133 covers Manteca, home to 4,447 residents. For landlords it grades 6.7/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,788 monthly, set against $80,234 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,277

Renter share18.1%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate26.2%

Median income$80,234

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7885, -121.2235 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manteca

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.2% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$1,788 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manteca

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manteca

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manteca

6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.2%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
22.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manteca, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005133

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005133?

Census tract 06077005133 in Manteca scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005133?

Median gross rent is $1,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005133?

26.2% of residents in tract 06077005133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005133?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 83th, minority 80th, housing 75th.

What share of households in tract 06077005133 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005133 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005133 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Manteca at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.