Census Tract · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077005133 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 4,447

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 06077005133 in Manteca, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%

Tract context

Occupied units1,277

Renter share18.1%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate26.2%

Median income$80,234

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7885, -121.2235 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manteca

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.2% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$1,788 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manteca

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manteca

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manteca

6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.2%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
24.0%Food insecurity
22.1%SNAP enrollment
12.3%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10.

Against the San Joaquin County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $1,788, 13% below the Manteca average.

That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Manteca as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $80,234.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005133

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005133?

Census tract 06077005133 in Manteca scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077005133?

Median gross rent is $1,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005133?

26.2% of residents in tract 06077005133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005133?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 83th, minority 80th, housing 75th.

What share of households in tract 06077005133 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077005133 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005133 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.