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Census Tract · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Manteca Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077005109 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 3,493

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 06077005109 in Manteca, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,493. 67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the San Joaquin County average of 47.9%.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 17% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,307
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$57,128

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 18 tracts In Manteca
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 174 tracts In San Joaquin
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,732 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8,653 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manteca and the region

Centroid at 37.7990, -121.2107 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manteca scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manteca
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,600 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manteca
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manteca
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manteca
6.5

How Manteca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manteca risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 0051096.5Mantecaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manteca

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $57,128, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 28.7% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,600, 23% below the Manteca average.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 29.2% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points above the San Joaquin County average of 6.8. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Manteca rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077005109

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077005109?

Census tract 06077005109 in Manteca scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06077005109?

Median gross rent is $1,600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077005109?

30.2% of residents in tract 06077005109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,493.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077005109?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 87th, minority 69th, housing 93th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06077005109 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06077005109 compare to Manteca overall?

Tract 06077005109 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Manteca at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manteca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manteca

Top eight tracts in Manteca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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