Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Newhall Eviction Risk: High , San Jose

Tract 06085505203 · Santa Clara, CA · pop 5,476 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 06085505203 covers part of the Newhall area of San Jose, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,384

Renter share47.3%

SVI overall0.50

Poverty rate28.9%

Median income$118,021

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Jose and the region

Centroid at 37.3467, -121.9328 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newhall scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

28.9% poverty · this tract

7.2

Supply constraint

$3,014 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Jose

9.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

How Newhall compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
17%Grade B
26%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Newhall. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
13.6%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newhall

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9/10.

Against Santa Clara County at 43.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Santa Clara County average of 8.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $3,014, 13% above the San Jose average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06085505203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06085505203?

Census tract 06085505203 in the Newhall neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06085505203?

Median gross rent is $3,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06085505203?

28.9% of residents in tract 06085505203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,476.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06085505203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 1th, minority 68th, housing 99th.

Is tract 06085505203 considered part of Newhall?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06085505203 fall within Newhall (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06085505203 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06085505203 compare to San Jose overall?

Tract 06085505203 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Jose at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Jose eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06085505203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Jose

Top eight tracts in San Jose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.