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Neighborhood · Denver, CO

Lower Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,585 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Lower Downtown maps to a single census tract in Denver, CO, population 2,585. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Denver baseline of 29.2%, 52% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 8.5/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,455, 21% below the Denver average of $1,831. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Denver, it ranks #23 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Golden Triangle and Hughes Mountainview score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Downtown vs Denver How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.0% +78%
Denver: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,455 -21%
Denver: $1,831
Average HH income
$92,648 +1%
Denver: $91,681
Poverty rate
16.3% +45%
Denver: 11.2%
Renter share
62.6% +22%
Denver: 51.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Lower Downtown scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.3% below poverty line · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Lower Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3Lower DowntownNeighborhood6.8Parent cityhost city5.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lower Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
08031001704 7.3 2,585 52% $1,455
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Lower Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Downtown?

Lower Downtown scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Downtown compare to Denver overall?

Lower Downtown scores 0.5 points higher than Denver overall (6.8/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,455 vs $1,831.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Downtown?

Average gross rent in Lower Downtown is $1,455/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Downtown residents are renters?

63% of Lower Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Denver). The neighborhood has 2,585 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Downtown sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lower Downtown for landlords?

Lower Downtown carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Denver as a whole (6.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Downtown?

Lower Downtown has 2,839 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.5%), Hispanic / Latino (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Denver

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Downtown.

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