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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roxborough Park

Tract 08035014207 · Douglas County, CO · pop 2,173 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

08035014207 is a census tract in the Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch area of Roxborough Park, CO. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units679
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$134,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Roxborough Park
Very High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Elevated
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#871 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roxborough Park and the region

Centroid at 39.4733, -105.0692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roxborough Park
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,446 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roxborough Park
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roxborough Park
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roxborough Park
3.4

How Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0142074.0Roxborough Parkparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch

The clearest offset is tenant-organizing strength at 2/10. Average gross rent is $2,446, 25% below the Roxborough Park average. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Douglas County average of 47.3%. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.

The voucher gap is 14.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Douglas County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $134,150.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014207?

Census tract 08035014207 in the Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014207?

Median gross rent is $2,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014207?

9.0% of residents in tract 08035014207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 5th, minority 26th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 08035014207 considered part of Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014207 fall within Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08035014207 compare to Roxborough Park overall?

Tract 08035014207 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Roxborough Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roxborough Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roxborough Park

Top eight tracts in Roxborough Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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