Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Shipley Run Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Wilmington
Tract 10003001600 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,734 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
How risky is the Shipley Run Historic District neighborhood of Wilmington for landlords? Census tract 10003001600 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $924 a month while the average household earns $38,581 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$38,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 39.7469, -75.5550 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shipley Run Historic District scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$924 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
How Shipley Run Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,785Total filings over 9 yrs
- 30.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.9%Peak (2015)
- 164Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 657Total filings 2020-21
- 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 16.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 25.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.8%Food insecurity
- 46.0%SNAP enrollment
- 22.5%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 43.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shipley Run Historic District
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,785 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 30.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 34.9% of renter households in 2015.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003001600?
Census tract 10003001600 in the Shipley Run Historic District neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003001600?
Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003001600?
31.1% of residents in tract 10003001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 69th, minority 87th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 10003001600 considered part of Shipley Run Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003001600 fall within Shipley Run Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003001600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,785 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.08% of renter households, peaking at 34.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003001600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003001600 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003001600 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 10003001600 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
11th St. Bridge
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Hilltop
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Triangle
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Hedgeville
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Center City
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Greenhill
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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