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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington

Tract 10003000400 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,953 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

10003000400 is a census tract in the Triangle area of Wilmington, DE. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,953. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 22% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,511
Renter share56.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$34,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Triangle
Moderate
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 25 tracts In Wilmington
Low
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7593, -75.5480 · click any tract to drill in

Why Triangle scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$820 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0

How Triangle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Triangle risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0004004.4Wilmingtonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 792Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 9.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2013)
  • 83Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10003000400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 330Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Triangle

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the New Castle County average of 44.1%. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $820, 33% below the Wilmington average.

Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records carry 792 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 11.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003000400?

Census tract 10003000400 in the Triangle neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003000400?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003000400?

26.0% of residents in tract 10003000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,953.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 77th, minority 69th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 10003000400 considered part of Triangle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003000400 fall within Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 792 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.77% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003000400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003000400 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003000400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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