Neighborhood · Wilmington, DE

Shipley Run Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,734 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Shipley Run Historic District is a one-tract neighborhood of Wilmington, DE, population 2,734. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs around two-thirds against 31.0% citywide, putting Shipley Run Historic District 34.4% over its own city.

SNAP participation is 46.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 42.8% of adults, 25.0 points above the national rate. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $924, 25% below the Wilmington average of $1,224. On the high side is economic stress at 7.8/10.

Court records for this tract carry 1,785 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 34.9% of renter households. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

Recent filings have not receded much: 25.7% in 2018 against a 34.9% peak. That places it #1 of 20 neighborhoods in Wilmington.

One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Shipley Run Historic District vs Wilmington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.4% +111%

Wilmington: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$924 -25%

Wilmington: $1,224

Average HH income

$38,581 -30%

Wilmington: $55,269

Poverty rate

31.1% +34%

Wilmington: 23.2%

Renter share

74.8% +44%

Wilmington: 52.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shipley Run Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Shipley Run Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

75% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

31.1% below poverty line · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Shipley Run Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Shipley Run Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
10003001600	5.8	2,734	65%	$924

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 69%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 88%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shipley Run Historic District

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,785Total filings (sum)
30.08%Avg annual filing rate
34.9%Peak year (2015)
25.71%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

657Total filings 2020-21
8.5Avg monthly observed
16.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.53×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shipley Run Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

33.0%Housing insecurity
25.1%Utility shutoff threat
42.8%Food insecurity
46.0%SNAP enrollment
16.8%No health insurance
43.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Shipley Run Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Shipley Run Historic District?

Shipley Run Historic District scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Shipley Run Historic District compare to Wilmington overall?

Shipley Run Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than Wilmington overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $924 vs $1,224.

What is the average rent in Shipley Run Historic District?

Average gross rent in Shipley Run Historic District is $924/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Shipley Run Historic District residents are renters?

75% of Shipley Run Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Wilmington). The neighborhood has 2,734 residents.

Is Shipley Run Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Shipley Run Historic District sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Shipley Run Historic District for landlords?

Shipley Run Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wilmington as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Shipley Run Historic District?

Shipley Run Historic District has 2,483 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (66.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Other / Multiracial (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shipley Run Historic District

5.8 Hilltop 2 tracts · pop 5,572 5.8 Price’s Run 2 tracts · pop 5,353 5.8 Greenhill 2 tracts · pop 7,368 5.1 11th St. Bridge 2 tracts · pop 3,542 5.3 Riverside 2 tracts · pop 6,988 5.5 Southbridge 2 tracts · pop 4,937

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wilmington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shipley Run Historic District.

5.8 Triangle 1 tracts · pop 2,953 5.8 Hilltop 2 tracts · pop 5,572 5.8 Price’s Run 2 tracts · pop 5,353 5.8 Hedgeville 1 tracts · pop 4,004 5.8 Upper East Side 1 tracts · pop 2,397 5.8 Delaware Avenue 1 tracts · pop 3,415

Zoom out