Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 10003015100 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,483 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
For landlords sizing up the Castle Hills area of New Castle, census tract 10003015100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,127 a month while the average household earns $59,883 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$59,883
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.6782, -75.5806 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Hills scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
5.7
How Castle Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 169Total filings over 9 yrs
- 9.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 52Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Castle Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.4%Food insecurity
- 13.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Hills
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003015100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015100?
Census tract 10003015100 in the Castle Hills neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003015100?
Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015100?
15.5% of residents in tract 10003015100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,483.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 71th, minority 54th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 10003015100 considered part of Castle Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015100 fall within Castle Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003015100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003015100 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003015100 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003015100 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Castle
Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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