Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle
Tract 10003016000 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,813 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Castle Hills neighborhood of New Castle is where census tract 10003016000 sits, home to 2,813 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 76% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,108 a month against an average household income of $59,525 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$59,525
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle and the region
Centroid at 39.6850, -75.5718 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Hills scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Castle
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
5.0
How Castle Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,081Total filings over 9 yrs
- 40.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 46.1%Peak (2018)
- 152Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 161Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Castle Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.3%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Hills
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Castle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,081 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 40.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 46.1% of renter households in 2018.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.74x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003016000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003016000?
Census tract 10003016000 in the Castle Hills neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003016000?
Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003016000?
16.4% of residents in tract 10003016000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003016000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 100th, minority 84th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 10003016000 considered part of Castle Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003016000 fall within Castle Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003016000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,081 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003016000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 40.27% of renter households, peaking at 46.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003016000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003016000 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003016000 compare to New Castle overall?
Tract 10003016000 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of New Castle at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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