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Neighborhood · Elsmere, DE

Greenhill Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,368 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.7–5.8

Greenhill spans 2 census tracts of Elsmere, DE and houses 7,368 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Elsmere rate of 37.9%. Filings are well documented here: 2,880 across 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 27.7% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,210, 10% below the Elsmere average of $1,339. Recent filings have not receded much: 16.7% in 2018 against a 27.7% peak.

For a like-for-like read, Union Park Gardens and St. Elizabeth Area score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $51,883.

With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Greenhill vs Elsmere How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +16%
Elsmere: 37.9%
Average gross rent
$1,210 -10%
Elsmere: $1,339
Average HH income
$51,883 -32%
Elsmere: $76,378
Poverty rate
23.2% +23%
Elsmere: 18.8%
Renter share
43.6% +27%
Elsmere: 34.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greenhill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–5.8

Why Greenhill scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–7.2 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 3.0–6.5 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–4.0 across tracts
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 3.5–7.3 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–7.1 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
23.2% below poverty line · Range 5.1–6.3 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Greenhill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greenhill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8GreenhillNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Greenhill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003002400 5.8 4,225 43% $1,217
10003012300 5.7 3,143 45% $1,200
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Greenhill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,880Total filings (sum)
  • 20.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.7%Peak year (2015)
  • 16.85%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 910Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.1Avg monthly observed
  • 11.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greenhill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Greenhill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greenhill?

Greenhill scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greenhill compare to Elsmere overall?

Greenhill scores 1.5 points higher than Elsmere overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,210 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greenhill?

Average gross rent in Greenhill is $1,210/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greenhill residents are renters?

44% of Greenhill households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Elsmere). The neighborhood has 7,368 residents.
Q5

Is Greenhill a high social-vulnerability area?

Greenhill sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Greenhill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Greenhill is census tract 10003002400 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.8, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Greenhill for landlords?

Greenhill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Elsmere as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Greenhill?

Greenhill has 7,645 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27%), Hispanic / Latino (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greenhill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Elsmere

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greenhill.

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