Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Shipley Run Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 10003001600 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,734 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
10003001600 is a census tract in the Shipley Run Historic District area of Wilmington, DE. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the New Castle County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$38,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 39.7469, -75.5550 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shipley Run Historic District scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$924 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
How Shipley Run Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,785Total filings over 9 yrs
- 30.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.9%Peak (2015)
- 164Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 657Total filings 2020-21
- 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 16.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 25.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.8%Food insecurity
- 46.0%SNAP enrollment
- 22.5%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 43.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shipley Run Historic District
SNAP participation runs 46.0% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. At $924 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Wilmington commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.8/10.
Court records carry 1,785 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003001600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003001600?
Census tract 10003001600 in the Shipley Run Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003001600?
Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003001600?
31.1% of residents in tract 10003001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003001600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 69th, minority 87th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 10003001600 considered part of Shipley Run Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003001600 fall within Shipley Run Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003001600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,785 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003001600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.08% of renter households, peaking at 34.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003001600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003001600 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003001600 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 10003001600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
11th St. Bridge
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Upper East Side
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Delaware Avenue
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Hill
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 10003001600
Parent city ↑
Wilmington
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
New Castle County
Parent state ↑
Delaware
Sibling tract →
Price’s Run
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Price’s Run
5.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts