Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 10003002800 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,142 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 10003002800 covers part of the West 9th Street Commercial Historic District area of Wilmington, DE, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,142 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$54,153
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 39.7459, -75.5499 · click any tract to drill in
Why West 9th Street Commercial Historic District scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
How West 9th Street Commercial Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,263Total filings over 9 yrs
- 18.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.6%Peak (2010)
- 126Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,380Total filings 2020-21
- 17.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 19.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 44.1% across New Castle County.
On the high side, economic stress reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 1,263 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 23.6% of renter households were served.
Average gross rent is $1,327, 8% above the Wilmington average. In a typical year about 18.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003002800?
Census tract 10003002800 in the West 9th Street Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003002800?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003002800?
28.9% of residents in tract 10003002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,142.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 7th, minority 73th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 10003002800 considered part of West 9th Street Commercial Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003002800 fall within West 9th Street Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,263 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.86% of renter households, peaking at 23.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003002800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003002800 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 10003002800 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Upper East Side
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Delaware Avenue
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Hill
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Cool Spring
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Shipley Run Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Southbridge
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Center City
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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