1 census tracts · pop 7,114 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Kincaid Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Gainesville, FL, population 7,114. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.2/10.
17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. At $1,034 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Gainesville commands.
The filing record is not thin: 409 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2002 at 8.5% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 3.4% in 2018, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Gainesville.
For a like-for-like read, Robinswood and University Village South score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 45% of renter households.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $42,063.
One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kincaid Hills vs GainesvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Kincaid Hills
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
409Total filings (sum)
5.07%Avg annual filing rate
8.5%Peak year (2002)
3.44%Latest filed (2018)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
264Total filings 2020-21
3.6Avg monthly observed
3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville, FL).
Frequently asked
About Kincaid Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Kincaid Hills?
Kincaid Hills scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Kincaid Hills compare to Gainesville overall?
Kincaid Hills scores 1.4 points higher than Gainesville overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,034 vs $1,296.
Q3
What is the average rent in Kincaid Hills?
Average gross rent in Kincaid Hills is $1,034/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Kincaid Hills residents are renters?
36% of Kincaid Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 7,114 residents.
Q5
Is Kincaid Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Kincaid Hills sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Kincaid Hills for landlords?
Kincaid Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Kincaid Hills?
Kincaid Hills has 6,821 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (64.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.9%), Hispanic / Latino (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
