Kincaid Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Alachua County average of 4.1.

At $1,034 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Gainesville commands. Cost burden runs 45% here against 50.9% across Alachua County. Court records carry 409 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.