Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Kincaid Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gainesville
Tract 12001000700 · Alachua County, FL · pop 7,114 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12001000700 covers the Kincaid Hills area of Gainesville, home to 7,114 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,034 a month against an average household income of $42,063 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,427
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$42,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 29.6280, -82.2958 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kincaid Hills scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,034 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0
How Kincaid Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 409Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2002)
- 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 264Total filings 2020-21
- 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kincaid Hills
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alachua County average of 4.9 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 409 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2002.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12001000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001000700?
Census tract 12001000700 in the Kincaid Hills neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12001000700?
Median gross rent is $1,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12001000700?
32.8% of residents in tract 12001000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,114.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12001000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 96th, minority 79th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 12001000700 considered part of Kincaid Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001000700 fall within Kincaid Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 409 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.07% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12001000700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12001000700 compare to Gainesville overall?
Tract 12001000700 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Hume Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Yulee Residential Area
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
University Village South
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Beville Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Hume Residential Area
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Fraternity Row
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 12001000700
Parent city ↑
Gainesville
2.9 / 10
Parent county ↑
Alachua County
Parent state ↑
Florida
Sibling tract →
Hume Residential Area
6.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Yulee Residential Area
6.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Yulee Residential Area
6.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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