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Neighborhood · Gainesville, FL

Northwood Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 17,531 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.7

Northwood is a 3-tract neighborhood of Gainesville, FL, population 17,531. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

Court records carry 567 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 8.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.4% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #13 by risk, the lower third. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

42% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Its 3 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,226, close to the Gainesville average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Northwood vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.7% -3%
Gainesville: 42.9%
Average gross rent
$1,226 -5%
Gainesville: $1,296
Average HH income
$77,097 +69%
Gainesville: $45,611
Poverty rate
10.7% -62%
Gainesville: 28.0%
Renter share
21.8% -65%
Gainesville: 62.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Northwood scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
10.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.5 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–3.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Northwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3NorthwoodNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northwood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Northwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12001001803 3.7 6,612 47% $1,065
12001001201 3.3 2,885 61% $1,166
12001001202 3 8,034 30% $1,379
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northwood

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 567Total filings (sum)
  • 3.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak year (2014)
  • 2.42%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 282Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Northwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northwood?

Northwood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northwood compare to Gainesville overall?

Northwood scores 0.7 points lower than Gainesville overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,226 vs $1,296.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northwood?

Average gross rent in Northwood is $1,226/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northwood residents are renters?

22% of Northwood households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 17,531 residents.
Q5

Is Northwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Northwood sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northwood is census tract 12001001803 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Northwood for landlords?

Northwood carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northwood?

Northwood has 17,282 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.4%), Hispanic / Latino (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northwood.

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