Skip to content
Neighborhood · Gainesville, FL

Riceland Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,005 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.4–3.8

Riceland takes in 2 census tracts of Gainesville, FL, population 9,005. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 42.9% citywide, putting Riceland 16.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,534, 18% above the Gainesville average of $1,296. Court records carry 973 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 37.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 7.4% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $67,686. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Riceland vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.0% +38%
Gainesville: 42.9%
Average gross rent
$1,534 +18%
Gainesville: $1,296
Average HH income
$67,686 +48%
Gainesville: $45,611
Poverty rate
12.3% -56%
Gainesville: 28.0%
Renter share
53.8% -14%
Gainesville: 62.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Riceland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–3.8

Why Riceland scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 2.5–4.7 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–6.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Riceland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Riceland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5RicelandNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Riceland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12001002220 3.8 2,334 76% $1,848
12001002219 3.4 6,671 53% $1,424
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Riceland

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 973Total filings (sum)
  • 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.53%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 655Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.3Avg monthly observed
  • 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.94×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville, FL).

Frequently asked

About Riceland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Riceland?

Riceland scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Riceland compare to Gainesville overall?

Riceland scores 0.5 points lower than Gainesville overall (4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,534 vs $1,296.
Q3

What is the average rent in Riceland?

Average gross rent in Riceland is $1,534/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Riceland residents are renters?

54% of Riceland households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 9,005 residents.
Q5

Is Riceland a high social-vulnerability area?

Riceland sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Riceland have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Riceland is census tract 12001002220 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.8, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Riceland for landlords?

Riceland carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Riceland?

Riceland has 9,904 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28%), Hispanic / Latino (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Riceland

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Riceland.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further