Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Oakleaf Eviction Risk: Lower , Oakleaf Plantation

Tract 12019030207 · Clay, FL · pop 7,755 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12019030207 sits in the Oakleaf area of Oakleaf Plantation eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,241
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$102,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oakleaf
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Oakleaf Plantation
Very High
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 45 tracts In Clay
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#3,550 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakleaf Plantation and the region

Centroid at 30.1712, -81.8161 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakleaf scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakleaf Plantation
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,258 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakleaf Plantation
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakleaf Plantation
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakleaf Plantation
4.0

How Oakleaf compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakleaf risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0302073.4Oakleaf Plantationparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oakleaf. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakleaf

Cost burden runs 58% here against 44.5% across Clay County. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Clay County average of 3.9.

At $2,258 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Oakleaf Plantation commands. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $102,029.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019030207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019030207?

Census tract 12019030207 in the Oakleaf neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019030207?

Median gross rent is $2,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019030207?

9.7% of residents in tract 12019030207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,755.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019030207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 73th, minority 70th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 12019030207 considered part of Oakleaf?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12019030207 fall within Oakleaf (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12019030207 compare to Oakleaf Plantation overall?

Tract 12019030207 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Oakleaf Plantation at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakleaf Plantation eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakleaf Plantation

Top eight tracts in Oakleaf Plantation ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related