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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12019030500 · Clay, FL · pop 2,458 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Orange Park

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 12019030500 in Orange Park, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 18% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$76,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Orange Park
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 45 tracts In Clay
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#431 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange Park and the region

Centroid at 30.1644, -81.7225 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Park scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange Park
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,523 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange Park
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange Park
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange Park
6.9

How Orange Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0305004.1Orange Parkparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Park

Against Clay County at 44.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Against the Clay County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,523, close to the Orange Park average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $76,786.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019030500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019030500?

Census tract 12019030500 in Orange Park scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019030500?

Median gross rent is $1,523/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019030500?

22.0% of residents in tract 12019030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019030500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 87th, minority 61th, housing 60th.
Q5

How does tract 12019030500 compare to Orange Park overall?

Tract 12019030500 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Orange Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange Park

Top eight tracts in Orange Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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