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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12019030304 · Clay, FL · pop 4,477 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 12019030304 in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,477 residents. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Clay County average of 44.5%.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 12% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,928
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$55,488

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 45 tracts In Clay
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#259 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace and the region

Centroid at 30.1810, -81.7312 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,293 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace
7.4

How Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0303044.4Bellair-Meadowbrooparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace

36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

It sits 1.9 points above the Clay County average of 3.9. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,293, 11% below the Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace average.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019030304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019030304?

Census tract 12019030304 in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019030304?

Median gross rent is $1,293/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019030304?

19.7% of residents in tract 12019030304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,477.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019030304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 84th, minority 61th, housing 74th.
Q5

How does tract 12019030304 compare to Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace overall?

Tract 12019030304 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace

Top eight tracts in Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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