Skip to content
Pelican Bay, Florida eviction risk overview
City brief · 6,159 residents

Pelican Bay, FL Eviction Risk: LOW

Collier County · Population 6,159

In 2026
Risk score
2.5
LOW

81th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average2.2 Now2.5
3.1 1.5 1976 · score 2.5 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 2.1 1993 · score 2.0 1994 · score 2.0 1995 · score 2.0 1996 · score 2.3 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.3 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.2 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.2 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.6 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.4 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.3 2020 · score 3.1 2021 · score 2.9 2022 · score 2.4 2023 · score 2.4 2024 · score 2.6 2025 · score 2.6 2026 · score 2.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.6 Regional 4.6 State 1.5 Economic 6.0 Supply 2.2 Rent Control 7.8 Eviction 1.2 Tenant 2.2 Housing 5.7 2.5 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +33.1% (2024)
    4.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.6
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    6.2% poverty · 8.3% unemp.
    6.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,420 average · 5.5% renters
    2.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.5% of income on rent
    7.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    30 days filing → judgment
    1.2
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    5.5% renters
    2.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pelican Bay and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Pelican Bay compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Collier County
Very High
#2 of 24 cities
Rank in county, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 24 cities in Collier County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
Elevated
#252 of 949 cities
Rank in state, 74th percentileLowHigh
#252 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Pelican Bay risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Pelican Bay: 2.52.5Pelican BayThis cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg in countyState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.5
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 30d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,420/mo. A contested eviction takes 30 days and costs $1,137–$3,812 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 5.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 6,159 residents, 5.5% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.6 and 4.6 (GOP margin +33.1% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.2, housing court bias 5.7, rent-control risk 7.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6. Supply constraint: 2.2. The numbers behind those: 6.2% poverty, 8.3% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Pelican Bay sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Cape Coral, FL · 25d · ~$2.2k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Cape Coral Lehigh Acres, FL · 27d · ~$2.5k all-in ($92/day) · score 2.4 Lehigh Acres Fort Myers, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 2.5 Fort Myers Bonita Springs, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.2 Bonita Springs Jacksonville, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.5 Jacksonville Miami, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Miami Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.7 Tampa Orlando, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.9 Orlando St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.7 St. Petersburg Port St. Lucie, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.5 Port St. Lucie Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Pelican Bay
Pelican Bay · 30d · ~$2.5k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Pelican Bay, FL

Landlording in Pelican Bay, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.5/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Pelican Bay is a city of 6,159 residents where 5.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,420/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Pelican Bay eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.2/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Pelican Bay closes 30 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Pelican Bay's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Pelican Bay runs $1,137 to $3,812 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 30 days of typical timeline and $3,420/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.2/10 in Pelican Bay, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Pelican Bay: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,812 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Pelican Bay

Trap · 7.8/10
The 4.1/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Pelican Bay's rent-control-risk sub-score is 7.8/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Pelican Bay for any reason?

No, you need a legal reason. Common reasons include non-payment of rent, lease violations, or holding over after the lease term. Florida does not have statewide "just-cause" eviction requirements, meaning you can generally terminate a month-to-month lease with proper notice (15 days) without stating a specific "cause" beyond the tenancy ending.

Q2

How long does an eviction typically take in Pelican Bay?

A typical uncontested eviction in Pelican Bay takes about 30 days from serving the 3-day notice to regaining possession. If the tenant fights the eviction, it can take much longer, sometimes several months, depending on court dockets and legal complexities.

Q3

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I serve the 3-day notice?

Be very careful. Accepting a partial payment after serving a 3-day notice for non-payment of rent can be seen as waiving your right to evict for that specific rent period. If you accept partial payment, you generally must serve a new 3-day notice for the remaining balance or restart the eviction process. It's often best to decline partial payments if your goal is eviction.

Q4

Is there rent control in Pelican Bay?

No, there is no rent control in Pelican Bay or anywhere else in Florida. State law (Fla. Stat. § 166.043) prohibits local governments from enacting rent control ordinances, except in very specific, limited emergencies. This is a significant factor contributing to Florida's generally landlord-friendly environment, though our data shows a rent control risk of 7.8/10, suggesting some political pressure could exist.

Q5

Do I need a lawyer to evict a tenant in Pelican Bay?

While you can technically represent yourself in court, it's highly recommended to hire an attorney specializing in landlord-tenant law, especially if the tenant contests the eviction. A lawyer understands the legal procedures, can avoid costly mistakes, and often speeds up the process. Given the potential cost of lost rent and legal errors, an attorney's fee is often a worthwhile investment.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.5/10 places Pelican Bay in the 81st percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.