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Phoenix, Arizona eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,104 of 1,865 nationally

Phoenix, AZ Eviction Risk: LOW

Maricopa County · Population 1,642,323

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

74th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average2.1 Now2.8
3.2 1.5 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 1.9 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.6 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.5 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 2.0 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.1 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 2.0 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.1 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 1.9 2005 · score 1.8 2006 · score 1.8 2007 · score 1.8 2008 · score 2.1 2009 · score 2.3 2010 · score 2.4 2011 · score 2.4 2012 · score 2.3 2013 · score 2.3 2014 · score 2.2 2015 · score 2.2 2016 · score 2.5 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.5 2019 · score 2.6 2020 · score 3.1 2021 · score 3.2 2022 · score 2.8 2023 · score 2.8 2024 · score 2.8 2025 · score 2.8 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.5 Regional 4.5 State 2.5 Economic 6.0 Supply 4.0 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 3.0 Tenant 4.5 Housing 3.0 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +3.5% (2024)
    5.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.5
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.5
  4. Economic stress
    14.3% poverty · 5.1% unemp.
    6.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,582 average · 42.7% renters
    4.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    31.0% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    38 days filing → judgment
    3.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    42.7% renters
    4.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Maricopa County
High
#8 of 45 cities
Rank in county, 84th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 45 cities in Maricopa County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Elevated
#150 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 68th percentileLowHigh
#150 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Phoenix risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Phoenix: 2.82.8PhoenixThis cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 38d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,582/mo. A contested eviction takes 38 days and costs $1,756–$4,792 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 42.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,642,323 residents, 42.7% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 14.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.5 and 4.5 (GOP margin +3.5% (2024)). State climate at 2.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3, housing court bias 3, rent-control risk 1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6. Supply constraint: 4. The numbers behind those: 14.3% poverty, 5.1% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Phoenix sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.5 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.9 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.3 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.4 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Tempe Surprise, AZ · 41d · ~$2.7k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.4 Surprise San Tan Valley, AZ · 42d · ~$2.9k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.6 San Tan Valley Goodyear, AZ · 43d · ~$3.1k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.5 Goodyear Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Phoenix
Phoenix · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Phoenix, AZ

Landlording in Phoenix, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Phoenix is a city of 1,642,323 residents where 42.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 31.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,582/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Phoenix eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Phoenix closes 38 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Phoenix's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Phoenix runs $1,756 to $4,792 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 38 days of typical timeline and $1,582/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.5/10 in Phoenix, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Phoenix: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,792 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Phoenix

Trap · ARS 33-1331 ET SEQ.
What Phoenix landlords get wrong: ARS 33-1331 et seq. writes the legal-grounds requirement narrowly, and the AZ Court of Appeals has been increasingly willing to enforce procedural defects against landlords. Failure to specifically itemize the rent claimed in the 5-day notice (down to fees, late charges, utility passthroughs) gets the case dismissed at trial. The shift came after several 2023 appellate rulings that read the notice requirement strictly.
Trap · ARS 33-1329
Statewide preemption is layered. ARS 33-1329 preempts rent control. HB 2191 (2023) preempted source-of-income ordinances, which killed the Tucson 2022 SOI protection. SB 1129 (2024) would have re-enabled local SOI authority; it died in committee. The Arizona legislature has been consistently landlord-friendly through this cycle, and the LIVABLE coalition and local tenant unions are pushing primarily on relocation assistance and right-to-counsel rather than rent control.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 6,456 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.99× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 84,136 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 414,391.

  • 6,456Past month
  • 84,136Past 12 months
  • 0.99×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 21.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $69 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 6,878 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 6,949 filings (0.98× hist)2023-07-01: 7,086 filings (0.95× hist)2023-08-01: 7,674 filings (0.98× hist)2023-09-01: 7,791 filings (1.02× hist)2023-10-01: 7,924 filings (1.02× hist)2023-11-01: 6,628 filings (1.01× hist)2023-12-01: 7,061 filings (0.98× hist)2024-01-01: 7,996 filings (1.07× hist)2024-02-01: 6,872 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 6,186 filings (1.03× hist)2024-04-01: 6,771 filings (1.04× hist)2024-05-01: 7,071 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 7,213 filings (1.02× hist)2024-07-01: 7,889 filings (1.05× hist)2024-08-01: 7,935 filings (1.02× hist)2024-09-01: 7,521 filings (0.98× hist)2024-10-01: 7,669 filings (0.98× hist)2024-11-01: 6,495 filings (0.99× hist)2024-12-01: 7,328 filings (1.02× hist)2025-01-01: 7,591 filings (1.01× hist)2025-02-01: 7,059 filings (1.12× hist)2025-03-01: 5,974 filings (1.00× hist)2025-04-01: 6,316 filings (0.97× hist)2025-05-01: 7,064 filings (1.01× hist)2025-06-01: 7,015 filings (0.99× hist)2025-07-01: 7,242 filings (0.97× hist)2025-08-01: 7,542 filings (0.97× hist)2025-09-01: 7,293 filings (0.95× hist)2025-10-01: 7,569 filings (0.97× hist)2025-11-01: 6,833 filings (1.04× hist)2025-12-01: 7,104 filings (0.99× hist)2026-01-01: 7,665 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 6,466 filings (1.03× hist)2026-03-01: 5,887 filings (0.98× hist)2026-04-01: 6,456 filings (0.99× hist)
Filings dropped 9% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Phoenix without a reason?

Arizona does not have a statewide just-cause eviction law. If your tenant is on a month-to-month lease, you can terminate their tenancy with a 30-day notice without needing a specific reason. For a fixed-term lease, you generally need a lease violation (like non-payment) to evict before the lease ends.

Q2

How long does a Phoenix eviction usually take?

A typical eviction in Phoenix takes about 38 days from serving the initial notice to the tenant vacating the property. This timeline can extend if the tenant contests the eviction or if there are procedural delays.

Q3

What are the common mistakes landlords make during eviction in Phoenix?

The most common mistakes include improper service of notices, accepting partial rent after serving a pay-or-quit notice (which can reset the clock), failing to keep meticulous records, and attempting illegal self-help evictions like changing locks. Always follow the process outlined in A.R.S. § 33-1301 et seq.

Q4

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit in Phoenix?

No. In Arizona, the security deposit is capped at 1.5 times the monthly rent. For example, if rent is $1,582, your maximum security deposit is $2,373. You also have 14 days to return it after the tenant moves out.

Q5

Do I need a lawyer to evict a tenant in Phoenix?

You are not legally required to have a lawyer for a special detainer action in Arizona Justice Court. However, many landlords find it beneficial to hire an attorney to ensure the process is handled correctly and efficiently, especially if they are unfamiliar with court procedures or if the tenant contests the eviction.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places Phoenix in the 74th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.