Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Sixmile Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon
Tract 12057012211 ·
Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,958 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
In the Sixmile Creek area of Brandon, census tract 12057012211 scores 6.6/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #9,232 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 25%Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units16
Renter share50.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate42.5%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Sixmile Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Very High
Within county
93th percentile
#26 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
94th percentile
#335 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9618, -82.3443 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sixmile Creek scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Sixmile Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
81%Socioeconomic
61%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
34Total filings over 10 yrs
17.91%Avg annual filing rate
100.0%Peak (2016)
7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings climbed 133% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
19Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly (observed)
0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sixmile Creek
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.90x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012211?
Census tract 12057012211 in the Sixmile Creek neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012211?
42.5% of residents in tract 12057012211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,958.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 61th, minority 77th, housing 69th.
Q4
Is tract 12057012211 considered part of Sixmile Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012211 fall within Sixmile Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012211?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057012211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.91% of renter households, peaking at 100.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012211 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057012211 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057012211 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.