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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Allendale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon

Tract 12057013311 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,248 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 12057013311 covers part of the Allendale area of Brandon, FL, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 16% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,358
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$56,753

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Allendale
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 23 tracts In Brandon
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#325 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandon and the region

Centroid at 27.9297, -82.2817 · click any tract to drill in

Why Allendale scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6

How Allendale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Allendale risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0133114.3Brandonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 452Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2003)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013311
Filings climbed 53% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 130Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Allendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Allendale

Cost burden runs 68% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,260, 29% below the Brandon average.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

The filing record is not thin: 452 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2003, when 10.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013311

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013311?

Census tract 12057013311 in the Allendale neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013311?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013311?

31.1% of residents in tract 12057013311 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013311?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 79th, minority 65th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013311 considered part of Allendale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013311 fall within Allendale (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013311?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 452 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013311 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.19% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013311 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013311 compare to Brandon overall?

Tract 12057013311 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brandon

Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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