Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Grand Oak Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Thonotosassa
Tract 12057010203 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,082 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12057010203 covers the Grand Oak Glen area of Thonotosassa in Florida. Home to 2,082 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,058 a month against an average household income of $53,672 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units928
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$53,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Thonotosassa and the region
Centroid at 28.0487, -82.3371 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grand Oak Glen scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Thonotosassa
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,058 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Thonotosassa
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Thonotosassa
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Thonotosassa
7.0
How Grand Oak Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 506Total filings over 11 yrs
- 11.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2000)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 171Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grand Oak Glen
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Thonotosassa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 506 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 11.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.7% of renter households in 2000.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010203?
Census tract 12057010203 in the Grand Oak Glen neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010203?
Median gross rent is $1,058/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010203?
20.6% of residents in tract 12057010203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,082.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 75th, minority 60th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010203 considered part of Grand Oak Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010203 fall within Grand Oak Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 506 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.67% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010203 compare to Thonotosassa overall?
Tract 12057010203 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Thonotosassa at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Thonotosassa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Thonotosassa
Top eight tracts in Thonotosassa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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