Neighborhood · Thonotosassa, FL

Grand Oak Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,082 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

Grand Oak Glen is a white-black neighborhood in Thonotosassa with 1 census tract and a population of 2,082 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,058/month sits 7% lower than the Thonotosassa citywide average ($1,134).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Grand Oak Glen vs Thonotosassa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.7% +40%

Thonotosassa: 30.4%

Average gross rent

$1,058 -7%

Thonotosassa: $1,134

Average HH income

$53,672 -20%

Thonotosassa: $67,447

Poverty rate

20.6% +18%

Thonotosassa: 17.4%

Renter share

55.5% +68%

Thonotosassa: 33.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Oak Glen and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why Grand Oak Glen scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Economic stress

20.6% below poverty line · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Grand Oak Glen vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Grand Oak Glen

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057010203	4.6	2,082	43%	$1,058

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 75%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 69%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grand Oak Glen

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

506Total filings (sum)
11.67%Avg annual filing rate
15.7%Peak year (2000)
10.13%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

171Total filings 2020-21
2.3Avg monthly observed
3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.70×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Grand Oak Glen

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Oak Glen?

Grand Oak Glen scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Grand Oak Glen compare to Thonotosassa overall?

Grand Oak Glen scores 2.1 points higher than Thonotosassa overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,058 vs $1,134.

What is the average rent in Grand Oak Glen?

Average gross rent in Grand Oak Glen is $1,058/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Grand Oak Glen residents are renters?

56% of Grand Oak Glen households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Thonotosassa). The neighborhood has 2,082 residents.

Is Grand Oak Glen a high social-vulnerability area?

Grand Oak Glen sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Grand Oak Glen for landlords?

Grand Oak Glen carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Thonotosassa as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Oak Glen?

Grand Oak Glen has 2,304 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Oak Glen

4.2 Andrews 4 tracts · pop 21,390 4.3 Harney 2 tracts · pop 8,810 5.4 The Oaks 7 tracts · pop 24,079 4.9 Del Rio 3 tracts · pop 14,946 5.5 Altos Verdes 9 tracts · pop 37,245 4.4 Mango Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,601

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Thonotosassa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Oak Glen.

4.4 Temple Terrace Junction 1 tracts · pop 4,423 4.3 Thousand Oaks 1 tracts · pop 1,972 4.1 Antioch 1 tracts · pop 3,646 3.9 Clarkwild 1 tracts · pop 3,211

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