1 census tracts · pop 2,082 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Grand Oak Glen maps to a single census tract in Thonotosassa, FL and houses 2,082 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Thonotosassa baseline of 30.4%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10.
22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records for this tract carry 506 eviction filings.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. The worst year on record was 2000, when filings touched 15.7% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 10.1% in 2016 against a 15.7% peak. At $1,058 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Thonotosassa commands.
That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Thonotosassa. For a like-for-like read, Temple Terrace Junction and Thousand Oaks score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $53,672.
One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grand Oak Glen vs ThonotosassaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Grand Oak Glen
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
506Total filings (sum)
11.67%Avg annual filing rate
15.7%Peak year (2000)
10.13%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
171Total filings 2020-21
2.3Avg monthly observed
3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Grand Oak Glen
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Oak Glen?
Grand Oak Glen scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Grand Oak Glen compare to Thonotosassa overall?
Grand Oak Glen scores 1.4 points higher than Thonotosassa overall (4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,058 vs $1,134.
Q3
What is the average rent in Grand Oak Glen?
Average gross rent in Grand Oak Glen is $1,058/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Grand Oak Glen residents are renters?
56% of Grand Oak Glen households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Thonotosassa). The neighborhood has 2,082 residents.
Q5
Is Grand Oak Glen a high social-vulnerability area?
Grand Oak Glen sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Grand Oak Glen for landlords?
Grand Oak Glen carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Thonotosassa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Oak Glen?
Grand Oak Glen has 2,304 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
