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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lochmoor Waterway Estates Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12071010305 · Lee, FL · pop 4,351 · 92% of tract blocks fall in Lochmoor Waterway Estates

Census tract 12071010305 covers part of Lochmoor Waterway Estates, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 29% here against 52.2% across Lee County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 15% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,885
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$82,422

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lochmoor Waterway Estates
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#173 of 222 tracts In Lee
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochmoor Waterway Estates and the region

Centroid at 26.6437, -81.9160 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lochmoor Waterway Estates scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lochmoor Waterway Estates
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,471 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lochmoor Waterway Estates
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lochmoor Waterway Estates
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lochmoor Waterway Estates
4.1

How Lochmoor Waterway Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lochmoor Waterway Estates risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 010305Lochmoor Waterway : 3.43.4Lochmoor Waterway parent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lochmoor Waterway Estates

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

At $1,471 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Lochmoor Waterway Estates commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 0.7 points below the Lee County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $82,422.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071010305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071010305?

Census tract 12071010305 in Lochmoor Waterway Estates scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071010305?

Median gross rent is $1,471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071010305?

7.5% of residents in tract 12071010305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,351.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071010305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 56th, minority 42th, housing 21th.
Q5

How does tract 12071010305 compare to Lochmoor Waterway Estates overall?

Tract 12071010305 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lochmoor Waterway Estates at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lochmoor Waterway Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lochmoor Waterway Estates

Top eight tracts in Lochmoor Waterway Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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