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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,599 of 84,120 nationally

Candlewyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

Tract 12095013405 · Orange, FL · pop 2,582 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 12095013405 covers Candlewyck in Orlando, home to 2,582 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 76% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,572 monthly, set against $43,371 in average yearly household income, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 17% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units958
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$43,371

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Candlewyck
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 77 tracts In Orlando
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileBottomTop
#58 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileBottomTop
#245 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orlando and the region

Centroid at 28.5234, -81.2963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Candlewyck scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0

How Candlewyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Candlewyck risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 013405Orlando: 3.53.5Orlandoparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 304Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 10.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2005)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950134052000: 36 filings (13.60/100 renter HHs)2001: 27 filings (10.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (8.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)2004: 43 filings (16.24/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (14.09/100 renter HHs)2006: 46 filings (12.96/100 renter HHs)2007: 45 filings (12.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 23 filings (4.28/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Candlewyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Candlewyck

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orlando eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 304 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 10.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.1% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013405?

Census tract 12095013405 in the Candlewyck neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013405?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013405?

25.6% of residents in tract 12095013405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,582.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 81th, minority 85th, housing 73th.

Q5

Is tract 12095013405 considered part of Candlewyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013405 fall within Candlewyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 304 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.77% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12095013405 compare to Orlando overall?

Tract 12095013405 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orlando

Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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