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Neighborhood · Orlando, FL

Candlewyck Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,909 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4–5.4

Candlewyck is a 3-tract neighborhood of Orlando, FL and houses 9,909 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 63% against 34.1% citywide, putting Candlewyck 28.5% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Set annual rent against average household income of $54,260 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 4 to 5.4. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 1,946 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 18.0% of renter households. At $1,583 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Orlando commands.

The most recent observed rate, 5.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 43 mapped neighborhoods of Orlando, it ranks #19 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Stonebridge Lakes and Wedgewood.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Candlewyck vs Orlando How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.6% +84%
Orlando: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,583 -9%
Orlando: $1,747
Average HH income
$54,260 -22%
Orlando: $69,268
Poverty rate
19.3% +24%
Orlando: 15.5%
Renter share
71.3% +18%
Orlando: 60.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Candlewyck and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4–5.4

Why Candlewyck scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
19.3% below poverty line · Range 2.3–7.2 across tracts
4.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–3.7 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Candlewyck vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Candlewyck score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8CandlewyckNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Candlewyck?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 4 to 5.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Candlewyck

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12095013503 5.4 2,939 67% $1,421
12095013405 5.4 2,582 76% $1,572
12095013406 4 4,388 52% $1,697
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Candlewyck

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,946Total filings (sum)
  • 9.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak year (2005)
  • 5.54%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Candlewyck

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Candlewyck?

Candlewyck scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Candlewyck compare to Orlando overall?

Candlewyck scores 0.8 points higher than Orlando overall (4/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,583 vs $1,747.
Q3

What is the average rent in Candlewyck?

Average gross rent in Candlewyck is $1,583/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Candlewyck residents are renters?

71% of Candlewyck households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Orlando). The neighborhood has 9,909 residents.
Q5

Is Candlewyck a high social-vulnerability area?

Candlewyck sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Candlewyck have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Candlewyck is census tract 12095013503 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.4, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Candlewyck for landlords?

Candlewyck carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orlando as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Candlewyck?

Candlewyck has 9,858 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (70.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Candlewyck

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orlando

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Candlewyck.

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