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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,613 of 84,120 nationally

Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway

Tract 12095013604 · Orange, FL · pop 6,792 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Here is how census tract 12095013604, in the Bryn Mawr neighborhood of Conway, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,792. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 76% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,655 monthly, set against $53,931 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 13% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,807
Renter share55.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$53,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In Bryn Mawr
Very Low
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileBottomTop
#17 of 77 tracts In Conway
High
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileBottomTop
#85 of 267 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileBottomTop
#513 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 28.5082, -81.3226 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryn Mawr scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,655 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
4.0

How Bryn Mawr compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryn Mawr risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 013604Conway: 3.73.7Conwayparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 939Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.1%Peak (2004)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950136042000: 93 filings (6.26/100 renter HHs)2001: 69 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 85 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 89 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 165 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 131 filings (11.20/100 renter HHs)2006: 85 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2007: 158 filings (13.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 64 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bryn Mawr. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryn Mawr

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 939 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.1% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013604?

Census tract 12095013604 in the Bryn Mawr neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013604?

Median gross rent is $1,655/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013604?

27.1% of residents in tract 12095013604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,792.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 46th, minority 77th, housing 32th.

Q5

Is tract 12095013604 considered part of Bryn Mawr?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013604 fall within Bryn Mawr (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 939 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12095013604 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 12095013604 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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