Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cardinal Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Conway
Tract 12095013607 ·
Orange, FL · pop 5,344 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
12095013607 is a census tract in the Cardinal Park area of Conway, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,344 residents. Against Orange County at 51.4%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 8%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$80,778
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Cardinal Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Conway
Moderate
Within county
8th percentile
#247 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Conway and the region
Centroid at 28.4913, -81.3220 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cardinal Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
6.2
How Cardinal Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
59%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
406Total filings over 9 yrs
12.77%Avg annual filing rate
16.8%Peak (2005)
45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 29% over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cardinal Park
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The filing record is not thin: 406 evictions over 9 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095013607
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013607?
Census tract 12095013607 in the Cardinal Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095013607?
Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013607?
6.2% of residents in tract 12095013607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,344.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013607?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 12095013607 considered part of Cardinal Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013607 fall within Cardinal Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013607?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 406 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013607 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.77% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095013607 compare to Conway overall?
Tract 12095013607 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Conway at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Conway
Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.