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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Cardinal Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Conway

Tract 12095013607 · Orange, FL · pop 5,344 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12095013607 (the Cardinal Park area of Conway, Florida) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #38,627 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,639 monthly, set against $80,778 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 8% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$80,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cardinal Park
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Conway
Moderate
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#192 of 267 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#3,967 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 28.4913, -81.3220 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cardinal Park scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,639 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
6.2

How Cardinal Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cardinal Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 013607Conway: 2.32.3Conwayparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 406Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 12.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.8%Peak (2005)
  • 45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950136072000: 63 filings (20.91/100 renter HHs)2001: 41 filings (13.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 31 filings (10.29/100 renter HHs)2003: 60 filings (19.91/100 renter HHs)2004: 50 filings (16.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 79 filings (16.81/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (3.83/100 renter HHs)2007: 19 filings (4.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 45 filings (8.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 9 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cardinal Park

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 406 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 12.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.8% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013607

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013607?

Census tract 12095013607 in the Cardinal Park neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013607?

Median gross rent is $1,639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013607?

6.2% of residents in tract 12095013607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,344.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013607?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 12095013607 considered part of Cardinal Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013607 fall within Cardinal Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013607?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 406 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013607 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.77% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095013607 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 12095013607 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Conway at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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