Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando
Tract 12095013603 ·
Orange, FL · pop 5,732 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12095013603 covers part of the Dover Manor area of Orlando, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,732 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 11%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,178
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$48,173
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
90th percentile
#9 of 77 tracts In Orlando
High
Within county
92th percentile
#22 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
90th percentile
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orlando and the region
Centroid at 28.5229, -81.3194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover Manor scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0
How Dover Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
75%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
779Total filings over 9 yrs
8.79%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak (2000)
46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 62% over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover Manor
77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Orange County average of 51.4%. Set annual rent against average income of $48,173 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.9% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.2 points above the Orange County average of 4.2.
Court records carry 779 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2000 at 12.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095013603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013603?
Census tract 12095013603 in the Dover Manor neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095013603?
Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013603?
28.4% of residents in tract 12095013603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,732.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 91th, minority 77th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12095013603 considered part of Dover Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013603 fall within Dover Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 779 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.79% of renter households, peaking at 12.3% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095013603 compare to Orlando overall?
Tract 12095013603 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orlando
Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.