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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Morningside Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Ridge

Tract 12095016902 · Orange, FL · pop 6,311 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 12095016902 sits in the Morningside Park area of Oak Ridge, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 24% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$50,907

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Morningside Park
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Oak Ridge
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Ridge and the region

Centroid at 28.4584, -81.4148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morningside Park scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Ridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,434 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Ridge
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Ridge
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Ridge
8.4

How Morningside Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Morningside Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0169025.7Oak Ridgeparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 289Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2007)
  • 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095016902
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Morningside Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morningside Park

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 28.4% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $50,907, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 289 evictions over 9 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016902?

Census tract 12095016902 in the Morningside Park neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016902?

Median gross rent is $1,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016902?

20.5% of residents in tract 12095016902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,311.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 57th, minority 87th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12095016902 considered part of Morningside Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095016902 fall within Morningside Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095016902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 289 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095016902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095016902 compare to Oak Ridge overall?

Tract 12095016902 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Ridge at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Ridge

Top eight tracts in Oak Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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