Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Mill Run Eviction Risk: Elevated , Kissimmee
Tract 12097042300 · Osceola, FL · pop 8,564 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12097042300 covers part of the Mill Run area of Kissimmee, FL, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units3,244
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$44,081
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kissimmee and the region
Centroid at 28.3276, -81.3944 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mill Run scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kissimmee
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,251 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kissimmee
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kissimmee
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kissimmee
8.9
How Mill Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 469Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2017)
- 67Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 86% over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mill Run
It sits 2.6 points above the Osceola County average of 4.7. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.9% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $44,081 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Against Osceola County at 59.8%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,251, 24% below the Kissimmee average.
Court records carry 469 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2017, when 6.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12097042300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097042300?
Census tract 12097042300 in the Mill Run neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12097042300?
Median gross rent is $1,251/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12097042300?
26.4% of residents in tract 12097042300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,564.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12097042300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 83th, minority 86th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12097042300 considered part of Mill Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12097042300 fall within Mill Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12097042300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 469 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12097042300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.92% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12097042300 compare to Kissimmee overall?
Tract 12097042300 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Kissimmee at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kissimmee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kissimmee
Top eight tracts in Kissimmee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12097042000
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Skye at Hunter's Creek
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12097042202
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Storey Lake
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12097041700
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12097041800
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12097041900
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Hunter's Isle
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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