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Neighborhood · Kissimmee, FL

Mill Run Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 8,564 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Mill Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Kissimmee, FL and houses 8,564 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 70% against 43.1% citywide, putting Mill Run 27.0% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. At $1,251 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Kissimmee commands. The filing record is not thin: 469 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2017 at 6.1% of renter households. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Kissimmee. Judgments average 2.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mill Run vs Kissimmee How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
70.1% +63%
Kissimmee: 43.1%
Average gross rent
$1,251 -24%
Kissimmee: $1,647
Average HH income
$44,081 -14%
Kissimmee: $51,277
Poverty rate
26.4% +11%
Kissimmee: 23.7%
Renter share
47.8% -11%
Kissimmee: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Mill Run scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Economic stress
26.4% below poverty line · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Mill Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mill Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3Mill RunNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mill Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12097042300 7.3 8,564 70% $1,251
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 83%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 469Total filings (sum)
  • 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak year (2017)
  • 6.14%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Mill Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Run?

Mill Run scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mill Run compare to Kissimmee overall?

Mill Run scores 1.4 points higher than Kissimmee overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,251 vs $1,647.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mill Run?

Average gross rent in Mill Run is $1,251/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mill Run residents are renters?

48% of Mill Run households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Kissimmee). The neighborhood has 8,564 residents.
Q5

Is Mill Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Run sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mill Run for landlords?

Mill Run carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kissimmee as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Run?

Mill Run has 9,137 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (54.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Kissimmee

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mill Run.

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