Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Oldsmar Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103027320 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,676 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Oldsmar
Census tract 12103027320 covers part of Oldsmar, FL, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,676. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share15.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$91,076
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oldsmar and the region
Centroid at 28.0152, -82.6645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oldsmar scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oldsmar
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,249 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oldsmar
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oldsmar
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oldsmar
7.0
How Oldsmar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 366Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 56Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oldsmar
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 64% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 366 filings here across 18 tracked years. At $1,249 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Oldsmar commands.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $91,076, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027320
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027320?
Census tract 12103027320 in Oldsmar scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027320?
Median gross rent is $1,249/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027320?
10.9% of residents in tract 12103027320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027320?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 45th, minority 54th, housing 20th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027320?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 366 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027320 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.96% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027320 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027320 compare to Oldsmar overall?
Tract 12103027320 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Oldsmar at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oldsmar; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oldsmar
Top eight tracts in Oldsmar ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related