Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Union Academy Eviction Risk: Lower , Tarpon Springs
Tract 12103027404 ·
Pinellas, FL · pop 8,136 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 12103027404 runs through Union Academy in Tarpon Springs. With 8,136 residents, it scores 5.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,088 a month against an average household income of $51,364 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 12%Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units3,734
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$51,364
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Union Academy
Moderate
Within parent city
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Tarpon Springs
High
Within county
55th percentile
#124 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Moderate
Within state
54th percentile
#2,345 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region
Centroid at 28.1367, -82.7402 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Academy scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,088 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
6.7
How Union Academy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
67%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
284Total filings 2020-21
3.9Avg monthly (observed)
4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.91×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Academy
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tarpon Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.91x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027404?
Census tract 12103027404 in the Union Academy neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027404?
Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027404?
13.1% of residents in tract 12103027404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,136.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 86th, minority 46th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027404 considered part of Union Academy?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027404 fall within Union Academy (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027404 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?
Tract 12103027404 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tarpon Springs at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tarpon Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs
Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.